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Open Access Article
1 - Government, Industry and University Relations, the Horizon of Iran 1404
mohsen bahrami mahkame taatiThe relation between government, industry and university is a pivotal issue in moving towards the 20 year vision of science and technology development of the country. Identifying and detail study of underlying factors and forces are necessary for improving this relation MoreThe relation between government, industry and university is a pivotal issue in moving towards the 20 year vision of science and technology development of the country. Identifying and detail study of underlying factors and forces are necessary for improving this relation. In addition to analyzing the current situations, a future study approach should be undertaken to evaluate and asses the compliance of development plans with the goals and targets of the document of 20 Year Vision. In this paper, the result of a future study of some of the factors affecting the said relation with the horizon of 1404, involving some of the specialist and policy makers in the field of science and technology, is presented Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
2 - Investigating the geographic distribution of Iran’s nationalities and its rule on future changes
The Ideal thing to each national government is its nation enjoyment that is integrated among its members, significant differences linguistic, religious, ethnic and racial there and everyone belongs to a comprehensive national identity remember. Therefore, this study ai MoreThe Ideal thing to each national government is its nation enjoyment that is integrated among its members, significant differences linguistic, religious, ethnic and racial there and everyone belongs to a comprehensive national identity remember. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the geographical distribution Ethnicity of Iran and its role in the future development of the country that the descriptive - analytical and field studies in this area have been used. First the index of mining and adherence to their national unity and solidarity among nations of Iran border have been investigated which the index is used in the field of seven. The findings obtained from MADM methods and analytical models SAR shows that among people living in border Lor by a factor of 0.67, the highest level of commitment and people Kurdish and Baluchi coefficient of 1.240.6 and 1.25, respectively, with the lowest level of compliance in cross-border inter-ethnic unity and integrity are indicators. Some centrifugal forces on the border of Baluchistan and Kurdistan are existed that somehow and in some cases have been proposed as potential hotbeds of crisis. Kurds and the Baluch of Pakistan in Iraq can be considered as hotbeds of tension and crisis which caused the formation of future developments in the aforementioned boundaries. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
3 - Future Studies on Human Resources Development in the Agricultural Sector in Rural Areas Case: Central part of Malayer township
alireza takaloo Ali Shamsoddini bijan rahmani majid shariatFuture Studies on Human Resources Development in the Agricultural Sector of Malayer County Many current problems of the agricultural sector of the rural areas are due to past planners' lack of foresight and since the development or non-development of agricultural secti MoreFuture Studies on Human Resources Development in the Agricultural Sector of Malayer County Many current problems of the agricultural sector of the rural areas are due to past planners' lack of foresight and since the development or non-development of agricultural section has affected other parts of the country's economy and development, it is necessary to care fully evaluate the effective factors in this section and identify and resolve its damages and problems. Most people who work in the agricultural sector gradually have faced with some problems due to being old and inadequate education, and they are not fit for a new knowledge-based economy. It is caused by the young and educated people leaving the villages and going to the cities. This research is looking forward to foresight to avoid any potential problems that may arise in this field. The current study was done in three steps. The first step which is relevant to the theoretical part of the research, has been investigated through the laboratory and documentary review method on foresight and human resource development. The second step in the data section was done by observation, interview and questiomaire. Then in the third step, Delphi and structural analysis techniques and the Mick Mac and Wizard soft wares were used. Based on this research 24 main factors in the human resources development were identified and the variables of integrated management of rural development sustainable employment, advanced technology, elimination of discrimination between urban and rural areas and the expansion of production cooperatives with the most direct impact as remarkable criteria in this regard were identified and three groups of scenarios was proposed for the future of human resources in the agricultural sector of rural areas. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
4 - Delivery of Goods for Future Transaction and Its Guarantee Based on Imamiyah Jurisprudence and Positive Laws (ius positum)
Seyed Mohammad Sadeq Mousavi Maryam PourtolueiWhen a commodity is submitted by the owner to the other party for future transaction, the mutual relations can be in the form of contract, unilateral obligation or mere authorization. Therefore, the nature of this relationship depends on the intention of the parties and MoreWhen a commodity is submitted by the owner to the other party for future transaction, the mutual relations can be in the form of contract, unilateral obligation or mere authorization. Therefore, the nature of this relationship depends on the intention of the parties and there is no obstacle according to Sharia law to it. The practice has some effects and it is necessary to identify these effects in order to determine the type of relationship of the transactors and arbitration between them. Guarantee on damage or loss of the commodity is one of the guarantees that in view of some jurists is the owner’s obligation, while some consider it that of the receiver. However, since the owner delivers the commodity to the other party upon his will, it is unlikely to consider the receiver responsible unless in wasting commodity or in encroachment. Therefore, guaranteeing the commodity in case of damage or loss is on the owner. Upon evaluation of various views on the nature and impact of the said institution, in this paper all aforesaid views can be taken as one. In this case, the probable problems for the traders in this area will be removed and the ground will be prepared for a fair arbitration between them. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
5 - High Performance Computing Nessecities Requirements of future generations and research directions
ehsan arianyan MohammadMahdi Esnaashari Fatemeh Ehsani Boshla Shaghayeghsadat Hossieni bayan Masoud Dehyadegari Behnam SamadiNowadays, increasing the processing power of supercomputers is a worldwide race. This race, signifies the importance of supercomputers in the current era. They are engines of improving technology in almost all scientific areas, such as computational biology, earth scien MoreNowadays, increasing the processing power of supercomputers is a worldwide race. This race, signifies the importance of supercomputers in the current era. They are engines of improving technology in almost all scientific areas, such as computational biology, earth sciences, cosmology, fluid dynamics, and plasma modeling, to name a few. Next generation of supercomputers can be divided into two broad categories: 1) emerging technologies such as neuromorphic and quantum computing and 2) Exascala computing. Emerging technologies will be the future of supercomputing, however, not in a very recent future. Therefore, in this paper, we have focused on Exascale computing, and have tried to provide a comprehensive overview of the main requirements for this technology to be achieved and become available. Requirements have been overviewed from different aspects; hardware, software, artificial intelligence, and cloud computing. In addition, we have attempted to provide a complete taxonomy of hot research topics within this area. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
6 - Images and macro-plans of the future industry of leading countries Implications, findings; Lessons for government, academia and industry
Mohammad reza Karimi ghohroudi masoud shafieeAchieving a superior industrial civilization and the development of advanced and intelligent industry in the future is one of the major goals and serious concerns of many developed and leading countries in the world. Therefore, these countries have taken action to visua MoreAchieving a superior industrial civilization and the development of advanced and intelligent industry in the future is one of the major goals and serious concerns of many developed and leading countries in the world. Therefore, these countries have taken action to visualize and visualize their future industry, and in order to realize these images, they have prepared various national plans and roadmaps and made extensive and targeted investments. As we see today, several major programs in the world are competing to build a future industrial civilization. This article is a qualitative study with a descriptive-analytical approach with the aim of comparative study of images, perspectives and future industry plans of leading countries in order to optimize and extract implications, lessons First, the new future paradigm and civilization, ie the fourth industrial revolution, is briefly introduced, and then the most important images and macro-plans of the future industry of the three leading countries in the face of this revolution, including the European Union, especially Germany (fourth and fifth generation industry), China. (Made in China 2025 and the superpower of production in 2049), the United States (IoT, advanced and intelligent manufacturing 2030) briefly identifies and finally comparatively examines these images, the most important key findings, implications, lessons and teachings Provided for government, academia and industry. It is necessary for our dear country, with a deep understanding of these images and grand plans, to have an intelligent confrontation with these developments so that it does not suffer from strategic surprises.and teachings for development. Is the country's industry. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
7 - Effects and Consequences of covid-19 on Technology and Innovation
Mohammad Hosain Shojaei Alireza Kafaei Ahanifar Fatemeh Kanani Saeideh Ahangary Ahad RezayanThe Covid-19 pandemic has affected various aspects of human life and changed many systems and practices of the past. Since the beginning of the pandemic, technology is among the fields that have received serious public attention. It's expected that technology has a sign MoreThe Covid-19 pandemic has affected various aspects of human life and changed many systems and practices of the past. Since the beginning of the pandemic, technology is among the fields that have received serious public attention. It's expected that technology has a significant impact on overcoming the Covid-19 crisis and resolving the challenges posed by it. However, the effects of Covid-19 on technology and technological innovation systems have received less attention. Using the futures wheel method, this research identifies and visualizes the direct and indirect consequences of Covid-19 on technology. The input of the focus group discussions for the design of the futures wheel is derived from the qualitative content analysis of existing studies and reports on the effects of Covid-19 on technology. After the first version was designed by the focus group, the results were presented to fifteen experts with different specialties to modify the wheel in addition to confirm the validity of the research. Comments were reached consensus in two rounds of interviews and the final version of the wheel was drawn. The research findings represent the pattern of Covid-19 effects on technology under four main consequences: recession and economic problems; the need for fast, efficient, and effective solutions to deal with the crisis; lockdown policies; and the environmental impact of Covid-19. The most important policy proposals to deal with the identified consequences are: supporting the development of crisis-related technologies; supporting the continuation of companies' activities; supporting innovation competitions; removing obstacles to the export of technological products; Expediting patenting and licensing processes; Applying demand-side innovation policy tools; Investigating the risks of emerging technologies; regulation of emerging technologies; Designing a dynamic business atlas; and removing restrictions on access to materials and equipment needed for research and development Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
8 - Future Trends and Business Environment
Hamid HashemiForecasting the future is very important for business owners, while it is not difficult to discover it. Scientists and economists regularly uncover trends by analyzing: patterns in government and corporate research policies; new technological advancements and discoverie MoreForecasting the future is very important for business owners, while it is not difficult to discover it. Scientists and economists regularly uncover trends by analyzing: patterns in government and corporate research policies; new technological advancements and discoveries; market supply and demand fluctuations; and present moods, needs and spending habits of consumers. But for small businesses owners, there are many books, papers and web sites about new trends and megatrends. They talk about future changes such as: Shifting the global axis of power and influence from West to East, or underlying Asias rapid modernization include a shift from central government control to free-market economies, the emergence of female entrepreneurs, mass migration to cities and a resurgent individualistic spirit that rejects welfarism. These patterns can be uncovered through the computer analysis of large amounts of data taken from databases, polls, news clippings, or any other medium where information can be accumulated. From these patterns - as well as knowledge of past tendencies, historical cycles, an empirical understanding of human nature, and primitive gut reactions – they piece together astoundingly accurate predictions. This paper introduces new patterns and megatrends to business owners in order help them to plan their strategy and approach for sustaining their customers and their businesses. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
9 - The future Prospects for the Role of Networking in SME to increased Competitive Advantage through Open Innovation
Atefeh Zolfaghari Hesam Zand HesamiNetworking technology and innovation is the most important development strategies to enhance the competitiveness of enterprises in an increasingly competitive environment of today's world. Firms will be able to Identifying new technologies, customer needs through foresi MoreNetworking technology and innovation is the most important development strategies to enhance the competitiveness of enterprises in an increasingly competitive environment of today's world. Firms will be able to Identifying new technologies, customer needs through foresight, capture ideas and thereby contribute to the implementation and strengthening of open innovation. This article is a qualitative study that by studying the documents, databases and articles foresight, competitive advantage, and networking is formed and is integrated with content analysis and scenario. The network of small and medium-sized enterprises, open innovation process data play an important role. According to data collected in the process of networking in open innovation of small and medium, enterprises are playing an important role. This article examines the future prospects with Back casting to design a scenario has been discussed and the important role of small and medium enterprises contained within the networking. In this type of business due to the use of open innovation process, companies in the course of an idea to getting products to market, from other companies or organizations in the network will receive assistance and business ideas, technical knowledge, technology, and services, production and distribution of new methods to get new markets in the emerging network, in this way company will increase revenue and reduce costs. In the process of open innovation companies regularly selling ideas, knowledge, technology and services are networking with other companies, thereby increasing revenue and reducing company costs and ultimately achieve a competitive advantage for the firms. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
10 - A Study of Psychometric Properties of Future Time Perspective Scale (FTPS) and its Relation to Academic Achievement
Mohsen Afshar Elahe Hejazi Javad Ejei Nahid SadeghiThe present study aims at investigating psychometric properties of Future Time Perspective Scale (FTPS) among a sample of senior high school students and to determine its role in predicting their academic achievement. To this end 527 senior high school students in Karaj MoreThe present study aims at investigating psychometric properties of Future Time Perspective Scale (FTPS) among a sample of senior high school students and to determine its role in predicting their academic achievement. To this end 527 senior high school students in Karaj (city in Alborz Province) during the school year 2015-2016, were chosen using stratified proportional sampling and completed a questionnaire which consists of Future Time Perspective Scale (FTPS) and futurist present subscale. Exploratory factor analysis demonstrated that the structure of Future Time Perspective Scale (FTPS) after varimax rotation was clearly indicated the existence of four independent factors that is almost consistent with Husman and Shell (2008) classification of the items but second-order confirmatory factor analysis showed insignificant factorial load of extension component on future time perspective construct. Therefore, we can conclude that future time perspective of Iranian students only consist of three components: connection, value and speed. The results indicated acceptable reliability of FTPS. Regression analysis showed that these three factors significantly predict student's academic achievement. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
11 - Iranian College Students' Academic Identity: A Qualitative Study
Hamidreza Aryanpour Elahe Hejazi Javad Ejei Masoud Gholamali LavasaniThe purpose of the present study was conceptualizing college students' Academic identity and identifying the components of it as one of the specific types of the identity, considering the socio-cultural structure and the context of higher education in Iranian society. T MoreThe purpose of the present study was conceptualizing college students' Academic identity and identifying the components of it as one of the specific types of the identity, considering the socio-cultural structure and the context of higher education in Iranian society. To achieve this goal, a qualitative research method was used. Participants included 56 individuals (25 male students and 31 female students) who were studying in the fourth to sixth semesters of Ardakan University and sixth to eighth grade M.D. in medical and dentistry at the medical University of Shahid Sadoughi in Yazd. Focus groups were used for collecting data. In two universities, five focus groups were formed. The results of the theoretical coding showed that students' identity was composed of five components: academic commitment, academic self-Concept, future thinking, belonging to university and personal agency, influenced by factors such as basic psychological needs and leads to Numerous concequences such as change in academic self-efficacy and subjective well-being. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
12 - Develop a Structural Model of Unconditional Self-acceptance, Rejection Sensitivity, Imagine the Future and Childhood Experience of Care in Working Children and Adolescents
Narhes Ghasemi Yasser Rezapour Mirsaleh Mohammad Hadi SafiChild labor is one of the social ills of today's society. This study aimed to investigate a structural model of unconditional self-acceptance, rejection sensitivity, future expectations, and childhood experience care in working children. A correlational design using str MoreChild labor is one of the social ills of today's society. This study aimed to investigate a structural model of unconditional self-acceptance, rejection sensitivity, future expectations, and childhood experience care in working children. A correlational design using structural equation modeling was conducted. The statistical population of this study include the working child who lived in Yazd and Isfahan cities in 2020. A total of 160 children was selected using available sampling methid and answered to Chamberlin and Haaga’s unconditional self acceptance cale, Downey and Feldman’s sensitivity to rejection scale, Mcwhirter’s future expectations scale, and Bifulco, Brown and Harris’s childhood experience of care questionnaire. The findings showed that unconditional acceptance had a negative and significant effect on sensitivity to rejection (P<0.05). Childhood experience of care had a negative and significant relationship with future expectations while being positively and significantly related to sensitivity to rejection. Likewise, rejection sensitivity had a significant and negative effect on future expectations (P<0.05). The results did not support the direct effect of unconditional acceptance on future expectations. Regarding the results, it can be concluded that improving childhood care, reducing sensitivity to rejection, and working on the unconditional acceptance of these children, helped to improve their lives. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
13 - Critical Review of the concept of "development" with emphasis on the epistemological considerations of governance in Iran
heidar Najafi Rastaghi hamid dehghanianThe term development is a large and multidimensional concept and the product of a fundamental transformation of thought and the historical practice of the West in management systems and governance in the post-Renaissance period is a new conception of God and religion an MoreThe term development is a large and multidimensional concept and the product of a fundamental transformation of thought and the historical practice of the West in management systems and governance in the post-Renaissance period is a new conception of God and religion and the world, Existence of epistemological differences and western orientation of development patterns Based on these principles, there are value conflicts in the target countries or the so-called underdeveloped which has been denied the traditional and cultural values of these countries and subsequently the emergence of various tensions and challenges in the governing systems. The main purpose of this study was to critically examine the concept of "development" with emphasis on the epistemological considerations of governance in Iran. In this regard, the method of documentary study and content analysis based on a critical approach has been used. The main question of this research can be posed as follows: "What criticisms can be made about the concept of development by emphasizing the epistemological considerations of governance in Iran?". In the findings section, the critical components of the "development" paradigm with emphasis on the epistemological considerations of governance in Iran in the four axes of "critical socio-cultural rethinking", "critical economic rethinking", "critical political rethinking" and "critical philosophical theological rethinking" include economics Designed as the custodian of social planning (instead of philosophy), globalization, de-traditionalization, cultural uniformity, linearization of development, transgression of various forms of religion, rejection of traditional society, consumerism, sensitization of culture, secularization, moral relativism, etc. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
14 - The Relation between Rural Woman 's Trust in MENARID Projects and their Participation in Future Empowerment Projects: Experience of Kermashah Province
shahpar geravandi Susan NoorbakhshPrevious experience in development project and trust their building has always played a major role in local people's participation in future rural development projects. Nevertheless, planners and policy makers often neglect such experiences and implement development pro MorePrevious experience in development project and trust their building has always played a major role in local people's participation in future rural development projects. Nevertheless, planners and policy makers often neglect such experiences and implement development programs in areas with negative experience. Therefore, the purpose of this investigation was to test the hypothesis of a significant relationship between rural woman's trust in MENARID projects and their participation in future empowerment projects in Kermanshah Provinc. For this purpose, a descriptive cross-sectional descriptive survey method was used and information was collected using a researcher-made questionnaire. The study population was women involved in the Menarid Project (N = 270), 160 of whom were studied using simple random sampling. In this study, simple linear regression coefficient using SPSS statistical software was used to analyze the data. According to the findings, the Menarid project has been able to build moderate to high trust in rural women. The results of Pearson correlation between the two variables of trust and participation indicate that the two variables have a positive and significant correlation and 54% of the changes in the dependent variable of participation in future empowerment projects are explained by trust in previous projects. Finally, suggestions were made to planners and officials. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
15 - Telecommunications and changes in management and planning methods of future city
رضا خیرالدین امید خزائیانMoving towards information age which is the undeniable reality of third millennium, is more fundamental than conventional imaginations about the rise of computers or virtual spaces number only. In this era, a considerable share of intra and inter-urban communications do MoreMoving towards information age which is the undeniable reality of third millennium, is more fundamental than conventional imaginations about the rise of computers or virtual spaces number only. In this era, a considerable share of intra and inter-urban communications done by Telecommunications, which is not only independent from geographical and physical environment, but also is completely intangible and invisible. Significant advances in telecommunications and undermining of time and distance constraints, in one hand, dominate a new logic –space of flows- on world geography and in the other hand, define the future city as an integrated physical- virtual phenomenon. Now the key question is that in such situation, to what extent the conventional methods in urban management based on only physical reality of cities, can manage and plan the new trends of future physical-virtual city? In this research, with a fundamental approach and analysis-based method, first we clarified the main features of current management and planning by studying the basic principals of industrial society. Then by comparing these with changes in the information era, the conformation of conventional methods has been evaluated. The research shows that these methods mainly don’t have enough correspondence with the principals of the new age. This leads to decrease in the efficiency of such patterns for the future city. These Incompatibilities have been explained as three challenges faced with current management and planning methods: challenge in concepts, challenge in method and challenge in indicators. Finally, we noted to some important point should be considered in the management and planning the future city. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
16 - Identifying future trends and charting the ideal status of vocational technical education from the experts' point of view
sorur sefidgar sefidgar Hosein Aliahmadi Jeshfaghani Ali Reza Ali AhmadiAccording to the objectives, this research is an applied-developmental research. From a data gathering perspective, it is integrated. Interaction analysis method was used to collect, analyze and combine quantitative and qualitative data. The analytical research method w MoreAccording to the objectives, this research is an applied-developmental research. From a data gathering perspective, it is integrated. Interaction analysis method was used to collect, analyze and combine quantitative and qualitative data. The analytical research method was identified by analyzing the research literature related to the global trends of technical education development. From the point of view of educational experts, a group of 30 experts and experts in formal technical and vocational education, with a forward-looking and strategic perspective, with judicious and purposeful sampling, the most important global trends in technical and professional education development. Summarized and summarized the opinions, 22 trends were finalized. Then, the interaction effects, the effectiveness and impact of these trends were estimated. Findings show that variables such as "network community", "national competency framework", "orbital competence approach" and "population" are the most important factors influencing future educational attainment. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
17 - Investigating the impact of future-oriented talent management on career success; explaining the mediating role of Proactive Career behaviors
Mohammad Jafari nasim mousavi Ali Shariat nejad Reza Vali nejad,The purpose of the present study was to investigate the impact of future-oriented talent management on the success of employees' career through the mediating role of Proactive Career behaviors. This research is an applied research and is a descriptive survey research. T MoreThe purpose of the present study was to investigate the impact of future-oriented talent management on the success of employees' career through the mediating role of Proactive Career behaviors. This research is an applied research and is a descriptive survey research. The statistical population of this study was 384 people who work in South Oil and Gas Companies that were estimated using Cochran formula and cluster sampling method. The data collection tool was a standard questionnaire whose validity was confirmed by content validity method and its reliability was confirmed by Cronbach's alpha method. In this study, structural equation modeling approach and Smart Pls2 and Spss 19 software were used. The results show that future-oriented talent management has a positive and significant effect on career success and Proactive Career behaviors. The results also indicate that proactive career behaviors have a mediating role in the impact of future-oriented talent management on career success. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
18 - Future Proofing Model of the Sustainable Water Resource Management based on the Scenario Planning Approach- Case Study: Golestan Province
Seyed Mansour Rahim Hoseini Aliakbar HasaniWater resources have always been the focal point of the civilizations and urbanities formation. Human societies, at the early age until now, have been initiated around these resources. Therefore the preservation of the water resources for the next generation and correct MoreWater resources have always been the focal point of the civilizations and urbanities formation. Human societies, at the early age until now, have been initiated around these resources. Therefore the preservation of the water resources for the next generation and correct exploitation, play a crucial role in sustainability and extension of civilizations. Then, most of the experts believe that wars at the 21th century are about clean and pure water resources. In these days, because of excessive increase in environment uncertainty, the traditional planning approaches/methods have lost their usefulness. To confront these uncertainties and at the age of Cold War, scenario planning established as one of the future proofing approaches/methods. In scenario planning, against the traditional planning methods, the future has not seen as the extension of the past, on the contrary, general environmental drivers and forces form the future state of a system. Considering the uncertainities in water resource management,this article has tried to use scenario planning approach for future proofing, finding driving forces that shape the future state of water resources in the Golestan province and then determined the crucial drivers by interview with the experts of strategic management and water resource planning fields. All possible scenarios have been written and at the end, for managing water resources in stable ways, strategies and course of actions have presented. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
19 - Analyzing strategic effective drivers on public trust in government with foresight approach
Mohammad Montazeri HAKEM GHASEMI Einollah keshavarz tork Mohammadreza SolhjouPublic trust in government todays faces serious and increasing challenges which have doubled the necessity of trying to influence its future trend. This study has been done with foresight approach and aims to identify strategic factors affecting the future of public tru MorePublic trust in government todays faces serious and increasing challenges which have doubled the necessity of trying to influence its future trend. This study has been done with foresight approach and aims to identify strategic factors affecting the future of public trust in Islamic Republic of Iran on the horizon 2045. This research in terms of nature is descriptive-analytical and methodologically is based on mixed approach (qualitative-quantitative). Therefore, after conducting library studies and literature review and interviews with experts, a list of effective factors of public trust in Islamic Republic of Iran by using Delphi method was found and then these factors were minimized from 58 to 15 items. Then, by using structural analysis and the Cross-Impact Matrix was designed and by forming a panel consisting 11 experts and gathering their opinions about these factors, necessary data were entered into the matrix. By analyzing collected data, the influence of each factor was evaluated in MICMAC software. According to the results of this research, five factors including "combating corruption", "transparency", "not preferring of individual interests on public interest", "realization of social justice", and "honesty and integrity of the authorities" were identified as strategic effective factors on the future of public trust in Islamic Republic of Iran. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
20 - A Hybrid Method for Transmission Cost Allocation Based on Effect of Transmission Facilities in System Reliability and Merchant Value
Hassan Esmaili علی کریمیWith the advent of electricity markets and the creation of a competitive environment in power systems, proper allocation of transmission cost among network users (consumers and producers) is essential to help the investment of transmission network, effectively. In this MoreWith the advent of electricity markets and the creation of a competitive environment in power systems, proper allocation of transmission cost among network users (consumers and producers) is essential to help the investment of transmission network, effectively. In this paper, a hybrid method for transmission cost allocation based on the effect of transmission facilities in system reliability and their merchant value is proposed. In the proposed method, first, the users' benefit in the electricity market and in other words, the merchant benchmark in cost allocation has considered. Second, cost allocation considering the effect of facilities in system reliability which are consist of factors of system security and adequacy and the benefit of users with these factors is done. For the implementation of the proposed method, the capacity of all facilities includes lines and transformers are divided into four sections consist of merchant capacity, contingency capacity for maintaining security, future capacity for maintaining adequacy and invalid capacity. The numerical results in a 3-bus and the IEEE 30-bus test system are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method and compare to other methods. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
21 - Designing a Model of Training Managers for Future
Hoda Jajarmi Ali Asghar Pourezzat Kamal DorraniThis research focuses on the need to develop meaningful training programs as a part of the reform of the secondary education system. Given that preparing the future managers is a responsibility we all share today, this study aims at designing a model for training future MoreThis research focuses on the need to develop meaningful training programs as a part of the reform of the secondary education system. Given that preparing the future managers is a responsibility we all share today, this study aims at designing a model for training future managers. This study adopted a qualitative exploratory approach. Accordingly, subsequent to reviewing the related literature, the semi-structured interviews with 15 selected senior managers in the Ministry of Education as well as experts and elites of the field were done. Participants were selected based on the snowball method. The interviews continued until the saturation level was achieved. Then, interviews were analyzed using the thematic analysis method. After analyzing the data and extracting the codes, they were classified into three major categories: 47 basic concepts, 18 organizers, and 5 inclusive themes, as the components of the model. The five inclusive themes were named as self-management, social factors, management of others, planning and the education system policy, and educational skills. Then, the model was designed based on the relationships among the themes. Finally, the research findings suggested that teaching management skills to adolescents, based on the recommended model of secondary school education system transformation, would lead to changes in the educational policy and development of such management skills as communication skills, critical thinking, leadership, and teamwork. At the end, recommendations are made based on the sub-themes obtained in each area and the key points raised by the experts of the field. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
22 - Identifying factors affecting the professional development of school principals based on futures study approach
هادي براتيThe purpose of this study was identifying factors affecting the professional development of school principal’s futures study approach. This research, based on the purpose, following the applied research and based on the nature of the research, is an explanation that has MoreThe purpose of this study was identifying factors affecting the professional development of school principal’s futures study approach. This research, based on the purpose, following the applied research and based on the nature of the research, is an explanation that has done by the combined method and sequential explanatory design. In this study using purposive sampling method (18 people) and were studied The views and perspectives of the managers of the education staff of South Khorasan province in relation to the factors affecting the future professional development of school managers. Then, for the confirmation of the dimensions specified in the research, a researcher-made questionnaire was distributed among 201 principals and deputies of secondary schools in South Khorasan province. The validity of the measurement tool has confirmed in the qualitative part using the coders' agreement method and in the quantitative part through convergent and divergent validity. In addition, the reliability of the researcher-made questionnaire has evaluated based on three criteria: factor load coefficients, Cronbach's alpha (0.81) and combined reliability (0.87) using PLS software. To test the research questions, MAXQDA10 software and PLS3 software were used. The results of the qualitative part of the research showed 39 basic themes, 6 organizing themes and 3 comprehensive themes. The results of the quantitative part of the research showed that the factors affecting the professional development of schools in the future could be classified form of three dimensions (individual, organizational and environmental) and 6 components (managerial, communication, behavioral, psychological, religious, environmental and contextual factors) and 39 indicators. The most important dimension came out to be organizational, which has a more effective role in explaining the professional development of secondary education managers in South Khorasan province. Therefore; based on the findings of this study, in order to planning for improving professional development of managers in the future, the first step; must consider the organizational components Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
23 - Analysis of histrocial and futuristic factors affecting the privacy of Iranian Islamic cities; Case study of Tehran metropolitan area
mojtaba sabouri Rahim Sarvar Hamidreza Joudaki fatemeh adibi sadi nezhadHuman impact on the environment is based on worldview or philosophy of life; hence, the construction and formation of the city in human civilization has always expressed the ideology and worldview of those societies; therefore, in different geographical environments, we MoreHuman impact on the environment is based on worldview or philosophy of life; hence, the construction and formation of the city in human civilization has always expressed the ideology and worldview of those societies; therefore, in different geographical environments, we see cities with different roles and importance and with uncoordinated and heterogeneous growth. It has become the most severe form and the inability of urban environments to respond to the problems created, has caused cities to be constantly exposed to the uneven growth of cities and the influx of urban land uses. The descriptive nature is analytical. The purpose of studying and researching the factors affecting the metropolitan area of Tehran from the perspective of the Iranian-Islamic city, the historical trend and its prolongation for more than a few decades has led to the destruction of Tehran. The statistical population of this study 40 of them are 15 experts of the General Directorate of Privacy and the rest are experts, experts and specialists in research. The examined criteria include physical, economic, social, natural and managerial factors with specific sub-criteria, which are sub-criteria. And then in MIC MAC software as a matrix MDI, MPDI, MII, MPII are analyzed. The results show that the most direct and direct potential impact, potential indirect and indirect effects, are related to land use change with rank (473). The lowest direct, potential direct effects, and potential indirect and indirect effects are related to the finite topography with rank (267) and (465) the lowest is for agricultural lands, wetlands with rank (224). Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
24 - New perspectives in wound management and treatment
Saeed Farzad-Mohajeri Mahdi ghamsari Farzad HayatiWound healing has been a major medical challenge in recent decades and it increase motivation of researchers to develop various therapeutic approaches. Along with the latest developments in science and technology, diverse approaches have been created and improved. Alt MoreWound healing has been a major medical challenge in recent decades and it increase motivation of researchers to develop various therapeutic approaches. Along with the latest developments in science and technology, diverse approaches have been created and improved. Although Traditional management, including wound dressings and skin grafts, is still commonly used in current practice but newer technologies found their roles in wound management, such as using stem cells in skin grafts or combining traditional treatments with anti-bacterial nanoparticles. Various upcoming technologies, such as nanotechnology, biotechnology, stem cell therapy and telemedicine have emerged in recent years and are being used to assist wound healing, or even to replace traditional methods. However, many of these methods still lack assessment by large-scale studies and extensive application. Also, studies should design to explore cost-effectiveness, conveniency and efficacy of them. In this review, authors focus on and summarize recent developments involving hi-tech therapeutic methods that lead to both rapid healing and better cosmetic results. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
25 - Analysis and classification of factors and capacities affecting the promotion of social capital by causal layer analysis
hakem ghasemi Mahdi Nikooye Shahriar shirooyehpourSocial capital is an asset and credit derived from social relations. Having this capital will facilitate the advancement of affairs, reduce costs and save capital. Its importance is such that its existence leads to the effectiveness and optimization of affairs for the e MoreSocial capital is an asset and credit derived from social relations. Having this capital will facilitate the advancement of affairs, reduce costs and save capital. Its importance is such that its existence leads to the effectiveness and optimization of affairs for the exploitation of other assets. However, so far the measures taken to prevent the reduction of this valuable capital have not been successful and it is also necessary to identify the factors affecting the state of social capital and the effects and consequences it can have. In this study, using the method of layer analysis of causes as one of the future research methods to deeply investigate the cause of a phenomenon in different layers, the factors affecting the state of social capital in four layers have been identified. Accordingly, these factors are defined and categorized in four layers of litany, system, worldview and metaphors, and based on this, the existing capacities in the province to improve the status of social capital in these four layers have been determined. The results show that paying attention to the effective factors in the lower layers such as worldview and discourse as well as the effective factors of the myth and metaphor layer can greatly help the problem of reducing social capital and by applying strategies based on this method can be He was more hopeful of promoting social capital. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
26 - Comparative study of future industrial development plans of three countries: Japan, India and Malaysia
Mohammad reza Karimi ghohroudi masoud shafiee maryam rezaei ghahroodiFacing the fourth industrial revolution intelligently and taking advantage of its capabilities and opportunities to achieve a future advanced and intelligent industry is one of the important and serious concerns of developed and developing countries in the world. Theref MoreFacing the fourth industrial revolution intelligently and taking advantage of its capabilities and opportunities to achieve a future advanced and intelligent industry is one of the important and serious concerns of developed and developing countries in the world. Therefore, most of the advanced economies in the world, the concept of industry 4.0 or emerging and related technologies related to it in their national policies and programs and prepare plans, national plans, development roadmaps and capital Have made extensive transitions. This article is a qualitative study with a descriptive-analytical approach and aims to comparatively study the future industrial plans and programs of the three countries of Japan, India and Malaysia in order to optimize and extract key findings for the industrial development of the country.First, the new industrial trend and new industrial paradigm of the future, ie the fourth industrial revolution, is briefly introduced, and then the macro plans for the development of the future industry of the three selected countries in the face of this revolution, including Japan (fifth community and related industries), Malaysia (leading industry). And India (Made in India) is briefly introduced and finally, by document analysis and comparative study of these images, the most important key findings, implications, lessons and teachings for government, academia and industry are presented. It is necessary for our dear country, with a deep understanding and understanding of the dimensions of this revolution, to face these developments intelligently, because the fate of the countries that lag behind in this field is humiliation and colonialism. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
27 - Effective Drivers on the Sustainable Development of Rural Tourism with an Emphasis on Futures Studies (Awraman district of Sarvabad city)
رسول صفیاری soran manoochehriSustainable development of tourism requires a future studies approach. Given the nature of sustainability and the complexity of the open tourism system and its impact from trends, events, and changes (known as drivers), such an approach can identify, understand, and ana MoreSustainable development of tourism requires a future studies approach. Given the nature of sustainability and the complexity of the open tourism system and its impact from trends, events, and changes (known as drivers), such an approach can identify, understand, and analyze the complexities and the operating drivers. This applied research with a descriptive-analytical method and a prospective exploratory approach identified the most important drivers that would affect the sustainable development of Awraman (Kurdistan, Iran) rural tourism. To identify the drivers, we used the Delphi technique and selected 38 experts. The MicMac software was used to find the relationships and their impacts and effectiveness. The results showed that the tourism system of the region would follow an unstable development. In such a situation, the aggregated drivers of economic, institutional, and environmental indicators would be more effective than social drivers. The most effective driver would be an inappropriate business environment, while a culture of self-employment and entrepreneurship would be the most influential driver in the sustainable development tourism for the region. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
28 - Identifying and Analyzing the Driving Forces Involved in Developing Tourism Industry in Kondoleh Village, Sahneh City
mitra jaliliyan Mohammad Akbarpour Jafar TavakoliAbstract Tourism is regarded as an inflectional factor in developing the communications between nations worldwide in today’s world, providing job opportunities in the economic sector and fostering socio-cultural interactions. On the other hand, rural tourism has widely MoreAbstract Tourism is regarded as an inflectional factor in developing the communications between nations worldwide in today’s world, providing job opportunities in the economic sector and fostering socio-cultural interactions. On the other hand, rural tourism has widely been researched by a wide variety of scholars around the world, as it can help create new jobs, increase the residents’ revenues, and mitigate poverty, especially in villages that enjoy cultural attractions. Therefore, this sought to investigate the key factors and influential driving forces involved in developing tourism in Kandoleh village using the Delphi method and the future study approach. This study is considered applied in terms of purpose, carried out based on new methods followed in the future study, and novel exploratory and analyzing techniques using a mixture of quantitative and qualitative methods. In this regard, the key indices were identified via Delphi method, and the critical driving forces were detected based on the cross-impact analysis method using the Mick Mac software. The study’s results suggested that out of the twenty-eight key factors identified, efficient management and designation of Kandoleh village as the pilot site for rural tourism were the most influential elements in developing tourism within the village, followed by factors such as increased investments by the private sector, advertising, registering and preserving historical and cultural monuments, and providing security for tourists, respectively. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
29 - A Future Study of Business Intelligence in the Tourism Industry
nayereh abtahi Mohammad Hasan Maleki behrooz bayat tohfeh ghobadiDespite potential tourism capacities in Iran, few foreign tourists visit Iran compared to the competing countries due to the lack of infrastructure, the existence of legal barriers, and the sanctions imposed against Iran. As considerable growth in the application of inf MoreDespite potential tourism capacities in Iran, few foreign tourists visit Iran compared to the competing countries due to the lack of infrastructure, the existence of legal barriers, and the sanctions imposed against Iran. As considerable growth in the application of information technology to tourism is one of the main trends in this industry, this applied exploratory study sought to identify future scenarios of business intelligence in Iran’s tourism industry using both qualitative and quantitative methods to analyze the collected data. The population of the study comprised tourism, future study, and business intelligence experts, out of whom the intended participants were selected via judgmental sampling. The study was conducted in three phases. In the first phase, thirty effective driving forces of the prospective business intelligence in the tourism industry were identified by reviewing the related literature and interviewing the experts. In the next phase, the identified driving forces were screened and prioritized using the EDAS. To this end, the driving forces were screened via the Binominal test, twenty of which were eliminated from the analysis, accordingly. Then, the remaining ten driving forces were assessed using the EDAS method. Finally, the type of decision-making culture and the arrival of foreign tourists were selected as the final driving forces, which, together with the application of root definitions and the organization of consultation workshop, formed the basis of offering four scenarios, namely the prosperity, heterogeneity, the spider web, and the ice ages. Accordingly, the prosperity and ice age scenarios illustrate the best and worst conditions for the future of business intelligence in tourism, respectively. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
30 - Identifying the Factors Involved in Applying IoT to Smartening Tourism Destinations Using Future Studies Approach: A Case Study of Fars Province
Khadije Kaveh maryam nekooeezadeh Moslem AlimohammadloFars province is one of the main hubs of tourism centers in Iran. Therefore, paying special attention to tourism in the province and using Internet-of-things technology in its tourism management can provide suitable facilities for improving the welfare of its visiting t MoreFars province is one of the main hubs of tourism centers in Iran. Therefore, paying special attention to tourism in the province and using Internet-of-things technology in its tourism management can provide suitable facilities for improving the welfare of its visiting tourists, thus increasing the visiting rate of its tourist destinations. In this regard, the present study sought to predict and identify the most important factors involved in applying the Internet of Things technology to the Smartization of tourist destinations in Fars province and to develop feasible desirable future scenarios thereof. To this end, the required data for this applied study were collected by conducting interviews, administering questionnaires, and carrying out a systematic review of related literature. Finally, the collected data were analyzed by the Scenario Wizard software using the MICMAC method. The results of the MICMAC analysis revealed the main role of 14 key variables in the application of the Internet of Things technology to the Smartization of tourist destinations in Fars province. On the other hand, two strong scenarios, 1548 weak scenarios, and nine scenarios with high compatibility were obtained using the Scenario Wizard software. Accordingly, the study used the aforementioned nine high-compatibility scenarios, finding that the future of tourism in Fars province would be similar to the current circumstances. It was also found that the trend of changes in the status of tourism would be slow and that the chances of applying the Internet of Things technology to the province’s tourism destinations would be low. Finally, based on the obtained scenarios, the study proposed some strategies to achieve the desired results in smart tourism. Therefore, the results of the current study could help tourism professionals prepare the ground for the application of state-of-the-art technologies such as the Internet of Things to tourism and thus develop the field through setting long-term plans. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
31 - Analytical review of future generations from the perspective of the Holy Quran
mostafa karamipour adel sarikhaniOne of the topics of intergenerational justice is the rights of the future generations, according to which the divine gifts that have been inherited from the previous generation to the current generation, are transferred to the future generation, and each generation has MoreOne of the topics of intergenerational justice is the rights of the future generations, according to which the divine gifts that have been inherited from the previous generation to the current generation, are transferred to the future generation, and each generation has the right to use the divine gifts, which means that nature And the resources in it belong to all people and generations and were created to meet their needs, and there is no evidence that divine gifts belong to the current generation and their superiority to future generations. The verses of the Holy Qur'an contain important teachings in this field and general Qur'anic speeches stating that what is in the sky and the earth belongs to all humans in every generation and because the divine verses are expressed in the form of real cases, in addition to The current generation (the existing ones) includes the future generation (the extinct ones) and emphasizes the necessity of protecting the rights of future generations and divine gifts, and besides paying attention to the spiritual dimension, it encourages humanity to respect the rights of future generations and It has established principles and rules to protect this matter. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
32 - Identifying the key factors affecting the application of forecasting in the field of policy making
Sahar KousariPolicymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Policy makers make decisions for a vague and uncertain future. However, creating a suitable link between the concepts and methods of future studies with policymaking is one of the challenges that researc MorePolicymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Policy makers make decisions for a vague and uncertain future. However, creating a suitable link between the concepts and methods of future studies with policymaking is one of the challenges that researchers in the field of future studies and policymaking are facing. Future studies can be directly in the field of policymaking or indirectly through analysis. policy to be used. Policy-making and policy analysis in some countries such as Singapore, Great Britain, Japan, Finland, France, Germany, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa are carried out on the basis of future-based systematic studies. They have an important role in the policy-making process, but future research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this article is to identify factors that improve the relationship between future research and policy making. The identification of these factors has been done with the method of library studies and focus group. 70 factors improving the communication between the two fields of future studies and policy-making were identified, of which 8 factors specifically improve the relationship between policy analysis and future studies, which have the weakest relationship; These factors include: the level of uncertainty, the type of subjective judgment towards the future, the type of policy analysis, the conditions of the policy environment towards the future, the approach of the agents towards the future, the understanding of the system in facing future issues, the institutional conditions of openness to alternatives and Time perspective is about the future. After that, the alternatives of each of these factors have been extracted in order to expand the vision towards the future.. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
33 - Environment and sustainable measures in the design of future buildings
soudabeh hadadi kohsar ramezanali naderi mayvanPopulation growth and increase in energy consumption and excessive use of natural resources have caused many problems for human societies. The contribution of the construction industry in the consumption of resources and the production of pollution caused by it is high, MorePopulation growth and increase in energy consumption and excessive use of natural resources have caused many problems for human societies. The contribution of the construction industry in the consumption of resources and the production of pollution caused by it is high, and the waste produced from construction and demolition operations causes many problems. Man, nature and architecture are three factors that have always been side by side and effective on each other throughout history. In the meantime, architecture, as an element connecting man to nature, can fulfill its task properly when it is used with proper knowledge and understanding of the conditions and needs of man and nature. By using the experiences, sciences and techniques hidden in the heart of nature and building a bridge of friendship between man and the surrounding environment with the help of architecture, it is possible to create a work that is of the nature of the environment and will be mixed with the environment. Decades have passed since the introduction of sustainable architecture and many solutions have been presented by architects to solve crises. Sustainable architecture is a process that can be repeated. Sustainable architecture can influence the quality of the final product and identify a process that is sustainable. Our goal in this research is to investigate sustainable architecture in the design of future buildings based on the environment. In this research, the measures taken on case samples in specific periods of time, as well as their effects on the environment and geography, were investigated using the method of comparative studies. Then, the explanation of sustainable measures used by architects in the design of future buildings was put on the agenda. In the following, the results have been presented with an analytical method. The method of collecting information was library method and document study. And based on the obtained results, the category of design criteria for future structures and the measures that can be taken will be discussed. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
34 - Scenarios and Patterns of Future Higher Education in the Horizon of 1410
Reza Mahdi masoud shafiee Ahmad keykhaResearching the future, developing future scenarios, and providing requirements and solutions to face the future are essential responsibilities of policymakers, leaders, and planners of higher education. Various factors and drivers, especially information and communicat MoreResearching the future, developing future scenarios, and providing requirements and solutions to face the future are essential responsibilities of policymakers, leaders, and planners of higher education. Various factors and drivers, especially information and communication technologies and digital developments, have transformed universities' role in shaping the more comprehensive higher education system. In this article, based on the study of Orr et al. (2020), five scenarios and models of higher education for 2010 are presented. These scenarios include Tamagotchi, Jenga, Lego, Transformer, and Garbage Can. The Tamagotchi model is a classic approach to higher education that begins immediately after high school, leads to a bachelor's or master's degree, leads to a job, and ends the path to higher education. The Jenga model is more attractive to non-traditional students in short-term learning courses and focuses on the following stages of self-learning and organization. The Lego model is named separate composite modules of different sizes that create a self-contained, non-standardized learning path rather than a compact unit. The Transformer model represents learners who may be extended past their primary education but return to higher education to gain new knowledge or upgrade needed skills. According to this model, everyone should have opportunities to leave their current career path and change it. In the Garbage Can scenario, learners choose a combination of Tamagotchi, Jenga, Lego, and Transformer scenarios according to their work-life situation and individual goals. Universities and educational institutions depend on the institutional mission and focal values. In this scenario, applicants and academic institutions will have multiple teaching-learning choices. Digital developments are technical innovation and social innovation, the consequences of which should be considered for society, the labor market, and the higher education systemThe Tamagotchi model is a classic approach to higher education that begins immediately after high school, leads to a bachelor's or master's degree, leads to a job, and ends the path to higher education. The Jenga model is more attractive to non-traditional students in short-term learning courses and focuses on the next stages of self-learning and organization. The LEGO model is named as separate composite modules of different sizes that create a self-contained, non-standardized learning path rather than a compact unit. The transformer model represents learners who may be long past their basic education, but return to higher education to gain new knowledge or upgrade needed skills. According to this model, everyone should have opportunities to leave their current career path and change it. In the Karbeijken scenario, learners choose a combination of Tamagotchi, Jenga, Lego, and Transformer scenarios according to their work-life situation and individual goals, and universities and educational institutions depending on the institutional mission and focal values.. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
35 - The Relation between Rural Woman 's Trust in MENARID Projects and their Participation in Future Empowerment Projects: Experience of Kermashah Province
Susan NoorbakhshPrevious experience in development project and trust their building has always played a major role in local people's participation in future rural development projects. Nevertheless, planners and policy makers often neglect such experiences and implement development pro MorePrevious experience in development project and trust their building has always played a major role in local people's participation in future rural development projects. Nevertheless, planners and policy makers often neglect such experiences and implement development programs in areas with negative experience. Therefore, the purpose of this investigation was to test the hypothesis of a significant relationship between rural woman's trust in MENARID projects and their participation in future empowerment projects in Kermanshah Provinc. For this purpose, a descriptive cross-sectional descriptive survey method was used and information was collected using a researcher-made questionnaire. The study population was women involved in the Menarid Project (N = 270), 160 of whom were studied using simple random sampling. In this study, simple linear regression coefficient using SPSS statistical software was used to analyze the data. According to the findings, the Menarid project has been able to build moderate to high trust in rural women. The results of Pearson correlation between the two variables of trust and participation indicate that the two variables have a positive and significant correlation and 54% of the changes in the dependent variable of participation in future empowerment projects are explained by trust in previous projects. Finally, suggestions were made to planners and officials. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
36 - Digital developments and perspectives of future higher education in the horizon of 1410
Ahmad keykha Masoud Shafiee Reza MahdiExtensive environmental changes havecovered all political,economic,social,technologicaland environmentalsystems.Meanwhile, the science and technology system ingeneral and thehigher education anduniversitysystem in particular have been subjected tofundamental changes.Bas MoreExtensive environmental changes havecovered all political,economic,social,technologicaland environmentalsystems.Meanwhile, the science and technology system ingeneral and thehigher education anduniversitysystem in particular have been subjected tofundamental changes.Based on the available evidence,it can be said that the level and depth of higher education and university developments will increase in the future.Therefore,future research of higher education and university and predicting future scenarios and preparing tools and solutions to face the future is oneof the important tasks of policy makers,leadersand experts of higher education.Among a variety of factors and drivers,digital transformations have significantly changed the role of universities to shape a more open higher education system.In this view,education becomes accessible to all people who can benefit from it. Based on the research of Lubke et al.(2020),this article seeks a more detailed analysis of the upcoming developments in higher education until the end of the current decade.In this article,five presuppositions,including the perspective of unexperienced innovation,the perspective of transfer and modernization through digitalization,the perspectiveof realism,the perspective of the learner,and the perspective of diversity in higher education,are determined as basis for searching for future higher education concepts.Future scenarios show the necessity of universities moving towards digitization and following the smart university model. According to the changes in the labor market,it will be necessary to redefine and reorganize the higher education system based on these changes.Digitization should be established at different levels of the university and systematically developed in the form of a digital society.Graduates' career paths will vary,and a pre-defined same careerpath cannot and should not be consideredfor graduates. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
37 - Identifying the key factors affecting the using of futures studies in policy making
Sahar KousariSahar Kousari Abstract Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Considering that futurist have an important role in the policy-making process, but future- oriented research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this MoreSahar Kousari Abstract Policymakers should make policies for vague and uncertain futures. Considering that futurist have an important role in the policy-making process, but future- oriented research is not considered a part of policy-making. The purpose of this article is to identify the factors that improve the futures field and policy-making relationship. The identification of these factors has been done with the method of library studies and focus groups. eight factors improving the communication between the two fields of future studies and policy-making were identified, of which eight factors specifically improve the relationship between policy analysis and futures studies, which have the weak relationship; These factors include: the level of uncertainty, the type of subjective judgment towards the future, the type of policy analysis, the conditions of the policy environment towards the future, the approach of the agents towards the future, the understanding of the system in facing futures issues, the institutional conditions of openness to alternatives and time horizonis about the future. After that, the alternatives of each of these factors have been extracted to expand the vision towards the future, which can be the basis of different scenarios of supportive decision-making models in future research. rs. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
38 - Developing an Innovative Marketing Model of Organic Products with a Future Research Approach
sharareh hezarkhani asghar moshabeki esfahani fataneh alizadeh meshkani abdollah naamiOrganic agriculture is known as an insight and system of production of agricultural products that emphasizes the production of healthy products. In this regard, the current research has been conducted with the aim of presenting an innovative marketing model of organic p MoreOrganic agriculture is known as an insight and system of production of agricultural products that emphasizes the production of healthy products. In this regard, the current research has been conducted with the aim of presenting an innovative marketing model of organic products with a future research approach. From the point of view of the goal, this study is a fundamental research that was conducted with the qualitative research method and based on deductive-inductive reasoning. The statistical population of this research was theoretical experts (professors of marketing management) and experimental experts (managers of knowledge-based companies in the agricultural sector). Sampling was done in a non-probability and purposeful way. The data collection tool was interview. To analyze the expert interviews, the prospective research method was used and the relevant indicators were identified and finally the final model of the research was presented. Research data analysis was done with TI Atlas software. Based on the results of the research, economic drivers, laws, politics, subsidies, construction and rental, environmental and health as influential variables, location drivers, social, personnel, innovative productions as independent variables, cultural drivers, special services, competitors , exchange rate and inflation and planning services as linked variables and influential drivers of export, strategy, physical services, direct advertising, skill training, job satisfaction and young customers as influential variables Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
39 - Analyzing and investigating the use of solar panels in Iran's electricity industry
Mehdi Jokar Mehrdad MohadpurSolar energy in Iran Iran is located between 25 and 40 degrees north latitude and is located in an area that is among the highest in the world in terms of receiving solar energy. The amount of solar radiation in Iran is estimated between 1800 and 2200 kilowatt hours per MoreSolar energy in Iran Iran is located between 25 and 40 degrees north latitude and is located in an area that is among the highest in the world in terms of receiving solar energy. The amount of solar radiation in Iran is estimated between 1800 and 2200 kilowatt hours per square meter per year, which is higher than the world average. In Iran, more than 280 sunny days have been reported annually on average, which is very significant. One of the most important applications of solar energy in the electricity industry is the use of photovoltaic panels to convert solar energy into electrical energy. A solar cell in the electricity industry is an electronic component that converts sunlight directly into electricity. and it becomes a voltage, and in this way electric power is produced. Certainly, the use of solar cells with high and new technology is a suitable and economical solution for the production of electric energy in the long term. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
40 - Effect of Career Construction Counseling on Qualitative Changes in the Future Career Autobiography of Students
parisa nilfrooshan Sayyedeh Fatemeh MousaviThe purpose of this study was to investigate whether career construction counseling brings about qualitative changes in the future career autobiography of ninth grade female students. The statistical population consisted of all 9th grade female students in Isfahan city. MoreThe purpose of this study was to investigate whether career construction counseling brings about qualitative changes in the future career autobiography of ninth grade female students. The statistical population consisted of all 9th grade female students in Isfahan city. Among them 54 students were selected by available sampling method who were randomly assigned to the experimental and the control group. The group-based intervention was performed in the experimental group in 8 sessions. Data as collected by using Future Career Autobiography FCA (Rehfuss, 2009) and as analyzed by performing Chi-square test, phi correlation coefficient, and narrative thematic analysis. The results of the Chi Square test showed that the difference between the experimental group and the control group was significant in terms of the number of changes in the future career autobiography (P<0.05). The results of narra-tive thematic analysis also showed that career construction counseling created narrative changes in students' future career autobiography. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
41 - Problem-solving and Futures Studies in Veterinary Programs and Services
Alireza Bahonar Hamid SharifiThe increase in population and the need to supply foodstuffs have raised the importance of animal health and veterinary activities more than ever before in the country's food security and development. In this paper, which focuses on veterinary activities in the field of MoreThe increase in population and the need to supply foodstuffs have raised the importance of animal health and veterinary activities more than ever before in the country's food security and development. In this paper, which focuses on veterinary activities in the field of food-producing livestock, the concepts of need, supply, and demand are defined, and the methods of determining and prioritizing health needs in the livestock population of the country are presented. In the context of problems in setting priorities, there are also important points such as livestock population statistics, lack of human resources, rapid management changes, economic factors, management considerations, the traditional structure of animal husbandry, insufficient training of producers, and technical health officials of livestock farms, lack of inter-sectoral cooperation and necessary support. From the country's veterinary organization, the lack of sufficient information about diseases and animal health status in neighboring countries, especially Iraq and Afghanistan, and the weakness of border and interprovincial quarantine systems have been noted. Factors affecting the use of animal health services points such as access to services, feeling of need or demand, assurance of quality, price and cost of services and insurance coverage have been mentioned. On the other hand, in recent decades, issues such as climate change, changes in international laws and regulations related to animal health and environment, transgenic products, bioterrorism, and drought, each of which affects the health and livestock production in some way, the need to pay attention to Proposes futures studies. Futures studies are a science that helps to better see these changes and prepare for them. The emergence of some new fields such as artificial intelligence, remote medicine and veterinary medicine (Telemedicine), personalized medicine and veterinary medicine, the emergence of robots in medicine and veterinary medicine, etc. paid attention. The sum of these issues should make us think about how much preparation there is for the future and these changes. It is suggested to make changes in the important fields of veterinary medicine such as education and research, veterinary structures at the national and international levels, and jobs related to veterinary medicine, in line with foresight and futurology. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
42 - e Content of Basics of Visual Arts; An Analysis Based on the Components of Entrepreneurship
Azam Jamshidi Tavana Zeinab Fazaeli Far Gholamali Ahmadisystem of education, especially Vocational branch, one of the important trends to develop and grow individuals entrepreneurial skills in people. The purpose of this study is the contents of the book of the visual arts of technical and Professional branch in 2020-2021. T Moresystem of education, especially Vocational branch, one of the important trends to develop and grow individuals entrepreneurial skills in people. The purpose of this study is the contents of the book of the visual arts of technical and Professional branch in 2020-2021. The instrument was a content analysis form consisting 7 main components, i.e. success-seeking, risk-taking, accountability, creativity and innovation, tolerance for ambiguity hardworking, and internal control. To confirm the validity and formal and content reliability of the study, the views of experts in educational planning and specialists of entrepreneurship were used. Reliability is calculated 0/81 by using Holsty reliability formula .Content analysis have been analyzed using Shannon entropy method. The results showed that among the seven components studied. The tolerance for ambiguity with the information load is 88.5 and the importance factor of 0.17 is the most attention And the success seeking factor with the amount of information load is 60.42 and the importance coefficient of 0.11 has the least attention. Considering the distribution of entrepreneurship components in the content of the book, in addition to tolerance for ambiguity, it creates a good context for success seeking , riskiness, accountability, hardworking, innovation and creativity, and internal control Manuscript profile
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