List of Articles macroeconomic variables

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  1 - Assessing the effect of macroeconomic shocks on systemic risk of the banking system using the SVAR model in Iran
  ali ostadhashemi seyed jalal sharif ali Souri
  In this study, we have used the total capital market index (TEDPIX) as an index of the real sector of the economy and the index of banks and credit financial institutions as an index that explains the developments of the banking system. Also, oil revenues, exchange rate More

  In this study, we have used the total capital market index (TEDPIX) as an index of the real sector of the economy and the index of banks and credit financial institutions as an index that explains the developments of the banking system. Also, oil revenues, exchange rate uncertainty, tax revenues, liquidity, nominal interest rates, inflation uncertainty and GDP have been used as macroeconomic variables in the research period (1370-1396). To estimate the systemic risk of the banking system, the quarterly data of the banks' index is used and the value at risk of the return of the seasonal data of the index is estimated using an exponential GARCH model. In order to model the interaction of macroeconomic variables and systemic risk of the banking system, an unrestricted vector autoregression (VAR) model was estimated and then using instantaneous impact functions and based on Chulsky analysis, systemic risk response to other variables was investigated and analyzed. In order to identify the channels of impact of economic shocks on the systemic risk of the banking system, based on the structures of the Iranian economy, a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model was specified and then the instantaneous impact functions were extracted and the effect of macro variable shocks on the systemic risk of the banking system was investigated. Also, the effect of systemic risk of the banking system on macroeconomic variables was investigated and analyzed using instantaneous impact functions. Finally, the interaction model of macroeconomic variables and systemic risk of the banking system was approved using the vector autoregressive model. Manuscript profile
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  2 - Reasons for the decrease in the study and study of economic factors affecting book publishing in Iran
  mahboube  Esmaili Hesari Mohammad Mirbagherijam
  The publication of books in any society is one of the important indicators of intellectual and spiritual growth. The process of book production in Iran, like any other society, is one of the most important indicators and signs of the quality of cultural and intellectual More

  The publication of books in any society is one of the important indicators of intellectual and spiritual growth. The process of book production in Iran, like any other society, is one of the most important indicators and signs of the quality of cultural and intellectual life. The importance of this issue doubles when enrichment and quality of cultural and intellectual life of Iranian society is one of the most important goals of the Islamic Revolution and political system. It turns out that it has a serious and prominent manifestation in the cultural policies of the country and especially in development programs. The purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of macroeconomic variables on book publishing in Iran between 1978 and 2017. Therefore, EVIEWS software and hybrid data method have been used to estimate the model data. The results show that the variables of inflation rate and interest rate have a significant and negative effect, the variables of literacy rate, total population and gender composition of the population have a significant and positive effect on book demand and paper price and income variables did not affect book demand in the country. The results of this study can help the country's cultural policy makers in decision-making and increase the demand for books in society. Manuscript profile