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      • Open Access Article

        1 - A Hybrid Long-Term Probabilistic Net Load Forecasting Approach Considering Renewable Energies Power in Smart Grids
        Mohsen  Jahantigh majid moazzami
        With the growth and integration of distributed generation resources in smart grids, net load forecasting is of significant importance. A hybrid optimization method is proposed in this paper for probabilistic net load forecasting using neighborhood component analysis and More
        With the growth and integration of distributed generation resources in smart grids, net load forecasting is of significant importance. A hybrid optimization method is proposed in this paper for probabilistic net load forecasting using neighborhood component analysis and solving regression problem with the aid of mini-batch LBFGS method. Net load forecasting is suggested in this paper trough forecast combination via adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system. The structure includes a combination of several long-term forecasts, including forecasts of load, the generation of a solar station, and the generation of a wind farm with wind turbines equipped with doubly-fed induction generator. Also, the net load forecasting and the relationship between errors of load, wind and solar predictions are studied in this paper. The simulation results of the proposed method and its comparison with Tao and quantile regression models show that mean absolute percentage error of load forecasting, and the forecasts of solar and wind generations improved by 0.947%, 0.3079% and 0042%, respectively which result to a decrease in net load forecasting error. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Assessment of Demand Side Resources Potential in Presence of Cooling and Heating Equipment Using Data Mining Method Based Upon K-Means Clustering Algorithm
        fatemeh sheibani M. Mollahassani-pour هنگامه کشاورز
        Under the smart power systems, determining the amount of Demand Response Resources(DRRs) potential is considered as a crucial issue due to affecting in all energy policy decisions. In this paper, the potential of DRRs in presence of cooling and heating equipment are ide More
        Under the smart power systems, determining the amount of Demand Response Resources(DRRs) potential is considered as a crucial issue due to affecting in all energy policy decisions. In this paper, the potential of DRRs in presence of cooling and heating equipment are identified using k-means clustering algorithm as a data mining technique. In this regard, the energy consumption dataset are categorized in different clusters by k-means algorithm based upon variations of energy price and ambient temperature during peak hours of hot (Spring and Summer) and cold (Autumn and Winter) periods. Then, the clusters with the possibility of cooling and heating equipment’s commitment are selected. After that, the confidence interval diagram of energy consumption in elected clusters is provided based upon energy price variations. The nominal potential of DRRs, i.e. flexible load, will be obtained regarding the maximum and minimum differences between the average of energy consumption in upper and middle thresholds of the confidence interval diagram. The energy consumption, ambient temperature and energy price related to BOSTON electricity network over a six-year horizon time is utilized to evaluate the proposed model. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - Robust Planning of False Data Injection Attack on Electricity Markets in Smart Grids
        Hamed Badrsimaei R. Hooshmand Soghra  Nobakhtian
        False data injection attack (FDIA) is a destructive cyber threat to the economic performance of electricity markets in smart grids. A cyber attacker can make a huge financial profit by implementing an FDIA through penetrating the virtual transactions of the electricity More
        False data injection attack (FDIA) is a destructive cyber threat to the economic performance of electricity markets in smart grids. A cyber attacker can make a huge financial profit by implementing an FDIA through penetrating the virtual transactions of the electricity markets and manipulating electricity prices. In this paper, a new approach to planning an absolutely stealthily FDIA is presented with the aim of achieving maximum financial profit from the perspective of a cyber attacker participating in virtual transactions from two markets of day-ahead (DA) and real-time (RT). A common hypothesis in studies of FDIAs against electricity markets is that the attacker has complete information about the smart grid. But the fact is that the attacker has limited resources and can hardly access all the network information. This paper proposes a robust approach in designing an attack strategy under incomplete network information conditions. In particular, it is assumed that the attacker has uncertainties about the network modeling matrices. The validity of the proposed method is evaluated based on the IEEE 14-bus standard system using the Matpower tool. Numerical results confirm the relative success of the proposed attack in cases of varying degrees of incomplete information. Manuscript profile