List of Articles آینده نگاری

• Open Access Article
  • Abstract Page
  • Full-Text
  
  1 - Pathology of Materialization of Urban Plans in Iran And Providing Proposal in Respect of its Promotion Case Study: District 22 of Tehran
    jamaladin daryabari abbas bakhshandehnosrat
  Prevailing Low level of materialization of urban plans in the country may not be denied. The issue may be studied from the two following perspective: formulating efficient strategies and proper implementation of strategies. Proper formulation of strategy is related to p More

  Prevailing Low level of materialization of urban plans in the country may not be denied. The issue may be studied from the two following perspective: formulating efficient strategies and proper implementation of strategies. Proper formulation of strategy is related to plan and appropriate implementation of strategy is related to management. Therefore, in process of urban planning and management, formulation steps of plans and extraction of strategies have to be redefined. On the other hand, streaming strategies has to be explained as the neglected dimension in process of urban planning. In the research, effort has been made for the reasons of failing urban plans in implementation phase to be studied. Data have been collected and interpreted through library study, analyzing documents and expert views. Finally, a model has been proposed with emphasis on futures studies in urban planning. In the model, effort has been made to consider factors effective on failure of plans; and, to respond to those cases recognized as obstacles of materialization of plans. Manuscript profile
• Open Access Article
  • Abstract Page
  • Full-Text
  
  2 - Feasibility of Integrated Urban Management Feasibility with Forecasting Approach (Tehran Metropolitan Case Study)
  solmaz sanaei Farzaneh Salami Bakhtyar  Ezatpanah
  A city is a container composed of several elements. Since urban operations involve a large number of related elements at different decision levels, integrated urban management to coordinate efforts at different levels is an irrefutable necessity. The purpose of this res More

  A city is a container composed of several elements. Since urban operations involve a large number of related elements at different decision levels, integrated urban management to coordinate efforts at different levels is an irrefutable necessity. The purpose of this research was to evaluate the integrated urban management of Tehran with a forward-looking approach. For this purpose, the documentary-library method has been used to collect information. In this research, 24 indicators have been used in 4 components (knowledge and information, education, citizen and citizen participation, management), which is used to check the association between these indicators using the MICCHA software and finally with this software. Proponents have been extracted. Wizard scenario software has been used for analyzing propagators and scenarios. The results of the research show that the integrated management situation in the city of Tehran has not been in a proper position. The extracted scenarios on Tehran's single urban management include golden scenarios, disasters and intersections, which, according to experts, are likely to materialize the catastrophe scenario in the future of Tehran. This scenario is the worst scenario. To overcome the disaster scenario and the city's tendency to improve the integrated management and to some extent align with the golden scenario of the proposals. Manuscript profile
• Open Access Article
  • Abstract Page
  • Full-Text
  
  3 - Introduction of Foresight: A look into initial experience of Japan, Germany and Iran
  Omid Majd Rahim Abadi Afsoon Fahtollahi
  According to this fact that undoubtedly in this competitive and complex world foresight is unavoidable; this article is trying to not only showing the necessity and emergence of the foresight but also describe some conception and to highlight the difference of foresight More

  According to this fact that undoubtedly in this competitive and complex world foresight is unavoidable; this article is trying to not only showing the necessity and emergence of the foresight but also describe some conception and to highlight the difference of foresight and other similar concept like forecast. In this article the foresight will be also categorized concerning different perspective, as well as describing some common methods to performing foresight. Finally we will take a look into the first experience of the initial foresight projects in Japan and Germany and in contrary; we will discuss the initial experience of foresight projects in Iran. Manuscript profile
• Open Access Article
  • Abstract Page
  • Full-Text
  
  4 - رتبه بندی متدولوژیهای تعیین اهداف دولت الكترونيك با رویکردMADM فازی
  Alireza Aliahmadi Fatemeh Saghafi mehdi ghazanfari
  Manuscript profile