Estimating the Value of Digital Economy Core Spillover in Iran
Subject Areas : ICTNiloufar Moradhassel 1 , Bita Mohebikhah 2
1 -
2 - Ministry of Communications and Information Technology
Keywords: Digital Economy, ICT, Spillover Effects, Private Efficiency, Social Efficiency,
Abstract :
Background and Purpose: In most of the studies, the direct effects of the ICT sector have been discussed, but the indirect effects (spillover) and how to measure them have not been addressed. This issue is on the agenda of this article. For this purpose, while determining the territory of the digital economy, the gross value of the core of the country's digital economy has been estimated. Methodology: In this article, using the Solow growth model, the spillover effects of the core of the digital economy (ICT) have been estimated for the period of 2002-2019. Findings: The results imply that in the period under review, according to the elasticity of labor productivity relative to the share of net capital formation of the ICT sector in the national economy (about 0.3), the spillover effects of the digital economy core have increased from 210 thousand billion Rials in 2015 to 279 thousand billion of Rials in 2019.
[1] N. Lane, "Advancing the digital economy into the 21st century", Information Systems Frontiers, vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 317-320, 2005.
[2] OECD, Digital Economy Outlook 2017. OECD Publishing,2017. [Online]. Available: https://www.oecd.org/digital/oecd-digital-economy-outlook-2017.
[3] R.Bukht and R.Heeks, "Defining, Conceptualizing and Measuring the Digital Economy", Economic and social research council, 2016.[Online].Available:http://www.gdi.manchester.ac.uk/research/publications/
[4] L.Margherio, et al, "The Emerging Digital Economy",Department of Commerce, Washington, DC,1999. [Online]. Available: http://www.esa.doc.gov/sites/default/files/emergingdig_0.pdf
[5] R. Bukht and R. Heeks, "Defining, conceptualizing and measuring the digital economy",Development Informatics Working Paper, Centre for Development Informatics, University of Manchester, No. 68.P:13,2017.
[6] UNCTAD, "The new digital economy and development". United nations conference on trade and development, technical, No.8 ,2017 .[Online].Available:https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/tn_unctad_ict4d08_en.pdf
[7] R.Bukht and R.Heeks, "Digital economy policy in developing countries", DIODE Working Papers, 7. University of Manchester, 2018. [Online].Available:https://diodeweb.files.wordpress.com.
[8] IDC, "Understanding The Digital Transformation Of Governments. Research Journal, vol.2, No.13,pp:144-172,2017.[Online]. Available:https://www.idc.com/prodserv/insights/#government.
[9] A. Cooper. and W. Xu, "Digital Spillover", Huawei and Oxford Economics. 2016 . [Online]. Available: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/resource/digital-spillover/
[10] IMF, "Prespective on Measurment the Digital Economy". Marshall Reinsdorf, IMF Statistic Department, 2018. [Online]. Available: http://www.imf.org/ external/pp/ppindex.aspx.
[11] https://www.abs.gov.au/Ausstats/abs@.nsf/0/52F69D385978038DCA2571290008557E?Open.
[12] www.statssa.gov.za
[13] www.dosm2.gov.my
[14] A. F. Rabi, "Information and Communication Technology Satellite Account Exercise - Opportunities and Risk from Alternative Methods". Statistical Services Sector Department Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics,2019. [Online]. Available:http: www.pcbs.gov.ps
[15] پژوهشکده آمار مرکز آمار ایران، "حساب اقماری بخش ارتباطات وفناوری اطلاعات(ICT) در اقتصاد ایران در بازه زمانی 1399-1391"، سال1401.
[16] N. Ahmad and J. Ribarsky,"Towards a framework for measuring the digital economy". Paper prepared for the 16th Conference of IAOS,2018. ]Online [. Available: https:// www .oecd.org
[17] UNCTAD, "Digital economy report". United Nations , P:6,2019. [Online]. Available: https://unctad.org › PublicationsLibrary › der2019_en PDF
[18] G20, "A roadmap toward a common framework for measuring the digital economy". Report for the G20 Digital Economy Task Force, pp:113-121,2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.oecd.org › sti › roadmap-toward-a-com PDF.
[19] Asian development Bank, "Capturing the Digital Economy: A Proposed Measurement Framework and Its Applications", A Special Supplement to Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific,2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/722366/capturing-digital-economy-measurement-framework.pdf
[20] W. D. Jorgenson and K. J. Stiroh,"US Economic Growth & the Industry Level", American Economic Review, vol. 2, No. 90, pp: 161-167,2000. [Online]. Available: https://www.aeaweb.org › articles › aer.89.2.109
[21] T. Hempell, "Does Experience Matter? Innovation & the Productivity of ICT in German Services" , Zew Discussion Paper, vol. 2 ,No43 , 2012. [Online]. Available: https://www.econstor.eu › bitstream
[22] k.M.Vu, "Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and Singapore’s economic growth", Information Economics and Policy, 25 .PP: 284–300, 2013. [Online]. Available: https://ps.booksc.eu/book/23274154/ef0326
[23] L. Hitt, and E. Brynjolfsson,"Information Technology", Organizational Transformation, & Business Performance, 2002. [Online]. Available: https://www.academia.edu › Beyond_Computation_Inf.
[24] N. Aissaoui, "ICT and growth gap between nations: Evidence from MENA region", Journal of Business Management and Economics, Vol. 8, No:1. pp. 026-037, 2017. [Online]. Available: https://ideas.repec.org › vrs › v5y2017i2p135-147n11.
[25] I.Brambilla and D.Tortarolo, “Investment in ICT, Productivity and Labor Demand: The Case of Argentina”, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 8325,2018. [Online]. Available: https://www.researchgate.net › ... › ICT.
[26] Abramova. N & Grishchenko. N , "ICTs, Labour Productivity and Employment: Sustainability in Industries in Russia", Institute of Social Policy, National Research University – Higher School of Economics, ul. Myasnitskaya, Vol. 20, No. 43 , 299–305,2020. [Online]. Available: https://www.researchgate.net › ... › Productivity
[27] مشیری، سعید و نیکپور، سمیه، "تأثیر فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات و سرریزهای آن بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای جهان"، فصلنامه پژوهشهاي اقتصادي ايران، دوره 9، شماره 33، صفحات 103-75، 1386.
[28] جهانگرد، اسفندیار و علینقی، نازیلا، "تحلیل علیت میان سرمایهگذاری فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات و رشد بهرهوری نیرویکار"؛ اقتصاد و تجارت نوین؛ پژوهشگاه علوم انسانی و مطالعات فرهنگی؛ دوره ۱۳، شماره اول، صفحات 44-21، ۱۳۹۷.
[29] مزینی، امیرحسین و مرادحاصل، نیلوفر، "ارزیابی اثر بهرهگیری از فضای مجازی بر بهرهوری و کارایی تولید ملی در ایران"، مجله توسعه و سرمايه، دانشگاه شهيد با هنر كرمان، دوره پنجم، شماره 1، صفحات ۴۹-1399،۲۳.
[30] G.N.Mankiw , D. Romer and D.N. Weil. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth", Quarterly Journal of Economics,No. 107,pp: 407-37,1992. [Online]. Available: https://eml.berkeley.edu › papers › MRW_QJE1992
[31] https://databank.worldbank.org/
[32] https://www.cbi.ir