بررسی اثرات رانت منابع طبیعی بر رشد اقتصادی در کشورهای اصلی صادرکننده منابع طبیعی: رویکرد رگرسیون چندکی
الموضوعات : اقتصادیقدرت الله امام وردی 1 , اکرم قوامی 2 , علی اکبر خسروی نژاد 3 , نارسیس امین رشتی 4
1 - استادیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکز
2 - گروه اقتصاد، واحد تهران مرکز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
3 - گروه اقتصاد، واحد تهران مرکز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
4 - گروه اقتصاد، واحد تهران مرکزی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: رانت منابع طبیعی, رشد اقتصادی, رگرسیون چندکی.,
ملخص المقالة :
بررسی اثرات رانت منابع طبیعی بر رشد اقتصادی، یک موضوع چالش برانگیز در ادبیات اقتصاد منابع طبیعی بوده است. رانت منابع طبیعی به طور قابل توجهی بر رشد اقتصادی تأثیر میگذارد و درآمدهایی را برای دولتها فراهم میکند که میتوانند در زیرساخت ها، آموزش و بهداشت سرمایه گذاری کنند و در نتیجه توسعه را تقویت کنند. با این حال، سوء مدیریت این رانتها میتواند منجر به نفرین منابع شود، جایی که اقتصادها بیش از حد به کالاها وابسته میشوند و در نتیجه نوسانات و توسعه نیافتگی ایجاد می¬شود. درک پویایی رانت منابع طبیعی برای سیاست¬گذاران برای بهینه¬سازی منافع و در عین حال کاهش ریسک بسیار مهم است. مطالعاتی از این دست به شناسایی شیوههای پایدار و استراتژیهای مدیریت مؤثر کمک میکند که میتوانند ثروت منابع را به رفاه بلندمدت تبدیل کنند. در نهایت، تجزیه و تحلیل رانت منابع طبیعی برای دستیابی به رشد اقتصادی متعادل و فراگیر حیاتی است. با توجه به این موضوع، هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی اثرات رانت منابع طبیعی در کشورهای اصلی صادرکننده منابع طبیعی (شامل 20 کشور) طی دوره زمانی 2022-2000 با رویکرد رگرسیون چندکی بود. یافته¬های این مطالعه با اثرات ثابت و همچنین رگرسیون چندکی نشان داد که رانت منابع طبیعی، تاثیری مثبت و معنادار بر رشد اقتصادی داشته است. همچنین براساس نتایح روش چندکی، در کوانتایل¬های بالای نرخ رشد اقتصادی، تاثیرات رانت منابع طبیعی بر رشد اقتصادی کاهش یافته است. به بیانی دیگر در کشورهای با رشد اقتصادیِ بالاتر، نسبت به کشورهای با رشد اقتصادی پائین¬تر، اثرات رانت منابع طبیعی بر رشد اقتصادی کم¬تر است.
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