اثر انرژی تجدید پذیر و توسعه مالی بر انتشار کربن بر اساس مصرف در ایران
الموضوعات :
سید جلال طباطبائی
1
(عضو علمی دانشگاه پیام نور)
الکلمات المفتاحية: کلیدواژه: انتشار کربن بر اساس مصرف, رشد اقتصادی, توسعه مالی, مصرف انرژی تجدید پذیر,
ملخص المقالة :
پژوهش حاضر اثر توسعه مالی و مصرف انرژی تجدید پذیر بر انتشار کربن بر اساس مصرف در ایران را با کنترل متغیرهای رشد اقتصادی و مصرف الکتریسیته را در دوره 1990 الی 2021 بررسی کرده است. پس از بررسی آزمون مانایی متغیرهای پژوهش آزمون‌های دیکی فولر تعدیل‌شده و زیوت-اندروز، آزمون هم جمعی بایر و هانک جهت بررسی وجود هم جمعی بین متغیرهای پژوهش انجام‌شده است. سپس از رگرسیون هم جمعی شامل تخمین زننده‌های خود رگرسیونی با وقفه توزیعی، حداقل مربعات معمولی کامل تعدیل‌شده، حداقل مربعات معمولی پویا و آزمون تغییرات تدریجی علی برای بررسی رابطه بلندمدت متغیرهای و رابطه علی آن‌ها استفاده‌شده است. نتایج به‌وضوح نشان می‌دهد توسعه مالی و مصرف انرژی تجدید پذیر باعث کاهش انتشار کربن بر اساس مصرف در ایران شده و توسعه اقتصادی و توسعه مالی انتشار کربن بر اساس مصرف را افزایش می‌دهد. نتایج آزمون تغییرات علی تدریجی، تأییدکننده نتایج اصلی روش‌های مورداستفاده تخمین بوده است. ازاین‌رو سیاست‌گذاران در ایران باید تحقیق و توسعه در فن‌آوری‌های با مصرف کم‌کربن را تشویق نموده و همچنین سرمایه‌گذاری‌ها در انرژی‌های تجدید پذیر را هدف قرار داده و از سطح واردات انرژی‌های تجدید ناپذیر را کاهش داده و از سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش‌های با مصرف انرژی بالا که منجر به افزایش در انتشار کربن بر اساس مصرف شود اجتناب کنند.
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