مدلسازی و ارزیابی قابلیت اطمینان راکتور کنترلشونده مغناطیسی مبتنی بر روش زنجیره مارکوف
الموضوعات :مرتضی حقشناس 1 , رحمتالله هوشمند 2
1 - دانشگاه اصفهان
2 - دانشگاه اصفهان
الکلمات المفتاحية: راکتور کنترلشونده مغناطیسی (MCR)قابلیت اطمیناندسترسپذیری منابع توان راکتیوروش زنجیره مارکوف,
ملخص المقالة :
راکتورهای کنترلشونده نوعی از سیستمهای انتقال انعطافپذیر هستند که نقش مهمی در دسترسپذیری و قابلیت اطمینان سیستمهای قدرت دارند. این در حالی است که در ارزیابی متعارف قابلیت اطمینان سیستمهای قدرت، توان راکتیو تنها به عنوان یک محدودیت برای شبکه در نظر گرفته شده و تا کنون مدل دقیقی برای ارزیابی قابلیت اطمینان راکتورها ارائه نشده است. در این مقاله یک مدل قابلیت اطمینان جدید توسط روش زنجیره مارکوف برای راکتور کنترلشونده مغناطیسی (MCR) پیشنهاد شده است. در فرایند مدلسازی این جبرانکننده، ابتدا ساختار راکتور به دو بخش مجزا تقسیم شده و سپس مدلهای مارکوف استخراجشده برای آنها بر اساس اصول روش فراوانی و تداوم حالتها ترکیب شده است. از آنجا که تغییرات دمای محیط نقش قابل ملاحظهای در تغییر نرخ خرابی تجهیزات الکتریکی دارد، اثر تغییرات دما مطابق با استاندارد MIL-217F در مدل پیشنهادی لحاظ شده و تأثیر آن بر احتمال حالتهای کاری MCR مورد ارزیابی قرار گرفته است. نتایج شبیهسازی و تحلیل حساسیت نشان داده که در شرایط عادی، سیستم کنترل و در دماهای زیاد، سیمپیچهای راکتور میتوانند بیشترین تأثیر را بر دسترسپذیری MCR داشته باشند. مقایسه شاخصهای قابلیت اطمینان در دماهای مختلف نشان داده که در شرایط تغییر دما، اجزای متفاوتی دسترسپذیری MCR را تحت تأثیر قرار خواهد داد، لذا در چنین شرایطی اقدامات لازم برای بهبود قابلیت اطمینان راکتور میتواند متفاوت باشد. این واقعیت اهمیت در نظر گرفتن دمای محیط در ارزیابی قابلیت اطمینان و همچنین برنامهریزی برای تعمیرات پیشگیرانه جهت بهبود عملکرد منابع توان راکتیو را نشان میدهد.
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