برنامه‌ریزی پیشگیرانه و امکانی- احتمالاتی ریزشبکه‌های الکتریکی در برابر حوادث طبیعی و در حضور خودروهای برقی
الموضوعات :امیرحسین نثری 1 , امیر عبداللهی 2 , مسعود رشیدی‌نژاد 3
1 - دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
2 - دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
3 - دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان
الکلمات المفتاحية: برنامه‌ریزی امکانی- احتمالاتی ریزشبکهپارکینگ خودروهای برقیمنابع تجدیدپذیرZ-numberعدم قطعیت,
ملخص المقالة :
این مقاله ساختاری امکانی- احتمالاتی برای برنامه‌ریزی یک روز پیش ریزشبکه‌ها در حضور پارکینگ خودروهای برقی و منابع تولید پراکنده ارائه می‌دهد. برنامه‌ریزی ریزشبکه بر اساس عملکرد آن در حالت عادی و حالت جزیره به دلیل رخداد خطا در شبکه اصلی انجام می‌گردد. در این مطالعه ابتدا عدم قطعیت تعداد خودروهای موجود در پارکینگ در هر ساعت با روش Z-number تعیین می‌گردد. در گام بعد میزان توان تولیدی توربین بادی و پنل‌های فتوولتاییک، قیمت بازار و میزان بار به صورت احتمالاتی با استفاده از روش مونت‌کارلو مدل میگردند. همچنین رخداد حوادث در شبکه بالادست که جزیره‌شدن ریزشبکه را در پی دارد، به صورت سناریومحور و بر اساس زمان شروع رخداد و مدت‌زمان تأثیرگذاری آن در نظر گرفته می‌شود. علاوه بر این، در برنامه‌ریزی بهینه ریزشبکه، ساختاری مبتنی بر عدم قطعیت و شارژ و دشارژ خودروهای برقی برای بهره‌برداری از پارکینگ‌ها پیشنهاد شده است. در این مدل، هزینه بهره‌برداری ریزشبکه در شرایط عملکرد معمول و هزینه عدم تأمین بار و بهره‌برداری به صورت توأمان در حالت رخداد خطا به عنوان توابع هدف پیشنهادی در نظر گرفته شده‌اند. نتایج حاصل از اجرای ساختار پیشنهادی بر روی ریزشبکه اصلاح‌شده 33 باس IEEE، اهمیت این مدل را در بهبود وضعیت امنیت و بهره‌برداری ریزشبکه نشان می‌دهد.
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