تحليل ديناميك بلندمدت بازار برق ناشي از منطقيت محدود تصميمات سرمايهگذاران تحت طراحي‌هاي مختلف بازار
محورهای موضوعی : مهندسی برق و کامپیوترابراهیم خرم 1 , حسین سیفی 2 , محمدکاظم شیخ‌الاسلامی 3
1 - دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
2 - دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
3 - دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
کلید واژه: بازار برق توسعه توليد ديناميك بازار ديناميك سيستم سرمايه‌گذاري توليد طراحي بازار,
چکیده مقاله :
در اين مقاله ديناميك بلندمدت بازار برق، ناشي از منطقيت محدود تصميمات سرمايهگذاران به كمك روش ديناميك سيستم (SD) و تحت طراحي‌هاي مختلف بازار شامل بازار انرژي تنها(EO) ، بازار با ذخيره بهره‌برداري (OR)، بازار با پرداخت ظرفيت ثابت (FCP) و بازار مبتني بر منحني تقاضاي ظرفيت (DC) تحليل شده است. همچنين مسير مبتني بر تعادل بلندمدت، جهت مقايسه تعيين شده است. نتايج شبيه‌سازي نشان مي‌دهد كه طراحي‌هاي مختلف بازار ديناميك‌هاي بسيار متفاوتي دارند و مي‌توان با انتخاب طراحي مناسب تا حد زيادي ديناميك بازار را كنترل كرد.
In this paper, the long-term dynamics of an electricity market due to bounded rationality in investment decision is analyzed under different market designs, including energy only market (EO), market with operating reserve pricing (OR), market with fixed capacity payment (FCP) and demand curve-based capacity market (DC). System dynamics (SD) method is used to analyze the behavior. Also, the equilibrium path is determined for comparison purposes. The results indicate that the different market designs have very different dynamics and it is possible to mitigate power market dynamics by selecting proper market design.
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